Amplifying feedback cycles drive change

Amplifying feedback cycles drive change. Vicious cycles can produce rapidly increasing damage, whereas virtuous cycles can produce constructive change. Yet people are often unaware of these dynamics that shape their lives, societies, and environment.

Here is an example of a vicious cycle I discuss below.

Rising global temperaturesLess ice cover
The Earth absorbs more of the sun’s heatLess reflection of sunlight back into outer-space

This site explores amplifying feedback across three domains:

Long-established “systems theory” recognises amplifying feedback as the fundamental dynamic through which a system can transform itself: ecosystems, minds, and societies – any complex system. This insight gives this website its name: Feedback Reigns. Indeed, virtuous amplifying cycles have organised nothing less than the evolution of life on Earth.



One of the vicious cycles driving global heating.

Consider one of the vicious cycles that is changing our Earth’s climate, bringing more extreme heat, fires, and floods.

Rising global temperaturesLess ice cover
The Earth absorbs more of the sun’s heatLess reflection of sunlight back into outer-space

In this cycle: (1) rising global temperatures reduce ice cover, (2) with less ice, the Earth reflects less sunlight back into outer-space, and (3) the planet absorbs more solar energy, so (4) temperatures rise further.

This is a self-reinforcing cycle in which heating drives more heating. Unfortunately, there are many more of these vicious cycles driving climate change. We need radical climate action before these cycles become unstoppable. They threaten rapid, irreversible change and the end of life as we know it on planet Earth.

See The Critical Danger: Climate change’s vicious cycles.


The vicious cycles driving people’s problems

Self-reinforcing feedback cycles can drive change in humans, including the development of problems and recovery from problems. I present:

Here is the cycle that was useful for the client in the described counselling session.

Diagram: the vicious cycle driving a client’s problem gambling.

For professional counsellors, these pages offer a practical way to generate and deliver counselling interventions, supported by a theoretical framework.


Australia can be a renewable energy superpower.

There are advantages for Australia in taking action to limit climate change.

Map: Global distribution of combined wind and solar generation potential

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Australia glows orange on this map, indicating that we have strong wind and solar resources relative to most developed countries. We also have abundant minerals, like iron ore and lithium. So, Australia can take action on climate change and become a renewable energy superpower. This would be a win for our climate, industry, jobs, and prosperity. See Australia: A Renewable Energy Superpower

Image Source: The global map of wind and solar potential is from the “Beyond Zero Emissions” 2015 publication “Renewable Energy Superpower”.


The massive cost of importing fossil fuels.

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Australia spends $61 billion annually on fossil fuel imports.

Another benefit of taking climate action is that, as Australia electrifies, we will be able to reduce this enormous flow of money from Australia to countries such as Russia. This would also make our energy supply more secure, as we would no longer rely on easily disrupted fossil fuel imports. We only have a few weeks of stored fossil fuel in Australia.


A vicious cycle driving right-wing populism

A vicious political feedback cycle can accelerate climate change. Climate action is essential not only to reduce global heating but also to prevent mass displacement, mass migration, and the political backlash it can trigger. When climate impacts worsen, more people are forced to flee their homes; this displacement fuels right-wing populism, which in turn undermines climate policy and drives further warming.

Higher global temperaturesMore extreme weather


Less climate actionMore conflict over land, water, food & housing
More right-wing populismMore migration

Climate action to reduce migration and right-wing populism.


Climate change evidence

Graph: Carbon dioxide levels over the past 400,000 years. Since 1950 levels have rocketed.

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See Evidence of human-caused climate change.


Convergence: The basis for scientific confidence

Image of convergence: A red arrow and five blue arrows meet point to point

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See Convergence: The Basis for Scientific Confidence.


Site Author: Andrew Gunner

See my background.


Site Map

See the Visitor Site Map: a compact overview of the website.


Updated: 3 Feb 2026

3 Replies to “Amplifying feedback cycles drive change”

  1. Thank you for this useful compilation of information – VERY useful to have on hand if one is having a debate with a denier of climate change
    Regards
    Pat Phair

    Reply

  2. This is brilliant Andrew, love the positive slogans. I do think they are the way to go. Undermines a lot of the antagonistic stance. Perhaps instead of ‘stop Adani’ type comments, there could be calls for a transition program to help fossil fuel employees. That might bring more folk on board.

    Reply

  3. This is a simply brilliant coverage of the issue Andrew, and so straightforward & accessible. It provides a wonderful reference for discussions and helps us remain positive, despite the difficulties we are all facing as the climate warms. Thanks you so much for putting this together and keeping it updated.

    Reply

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